Shot-shy
5/10Wisła Płock failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 25%).
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Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Wasteful
Wisła Płock are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Wisła Płock 27% to winMotor Lublin 48%
Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Motor Lublin expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, a little under the Ekstraklasa average of 2.8.
goals expected
Motor Lublin1.6Wisła Płock1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Motor Lublin to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,749 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,186 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 3,997 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Motor Lublin Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Motor Lublin 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 1,025 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Wisła Płock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wisła Płock 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,321 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Motor Lublin–
Wisła Płock–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Motor Lublin–Wisła Płock–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
143%
X26%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
132%
X43%
225%
1st Score
153%
X6%
241%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
16%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Wisła Płock: shot-shy · Motor Lublin: slow starters
5/10Slow starters
2/10Motor Lublin scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Motor Lublin: good attack, good defence (1.99 xG, 1.37 xGA a game)
- Wisła Płock: weak attack, good defence (1.48 xG, 1.55 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Motor LublinBookmakers: 48% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−1.4
- Wisła PłockBookmakers: 27% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals−1.6
Last 5 matches
Motor LublinW
D
W
W
D
Wisła PłockD
L
W
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Motor Lublin 13th of 18 · Wisła Płock 16th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Wisła Płock games less often than the Ekstraklasa average (60%), in Motor Lublin games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Motor Lublin6 of 10
Wisła Płock4 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Motor Lublin7 of 10
Wisła Płock3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 302 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Wisła Płock3/5
Motor Lublin1/5
Both Teams to Score
Wisła Płock1/5
Motor Lublin4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Wisła Płock3/5
Motor Lublin5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Wisła Płock4/5
Motor Lublin2/5
First Half Result
Wisła Płock1/5
Motor Lublin1/5
Correct Score
Wisła Płock0/5
Motor Lublin0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction