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Lech Poznań vs Cracovia Kraków 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Robbed

Lech Poznań drew despite more chances

Lech PoznańLech Poznań

0–0

Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
1.8Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Lech Poznań would usually take 2.1 points and Cracovia Kraków 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Lech Poznań.

Lech Poznań −1.1 pts vs chancesCracovia Kraków +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lech Poznań vs Cracovia Kraków stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lech Poznań had more than twice the shots on target

Lech Poznań

Cracovia Kraków

7

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

1

9

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

3

58%

Possession

43%

The match between Lech Poznań and Cracovia Kraków ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Lech Poznań win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lech Poznań – Korona Kielce prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Lech Poznań vs Cracovia Kraków — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lech Poznań to win

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Lech Poznań ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Lech Poznań Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lech Poznań 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Cracovia Kraków Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cracovia Kraków 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lech Poznań vs Cracovia Kraków 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lech Poznań vs Cracovia Kraków. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Lech PoznańLech Poznań0
Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

157%
X23%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lech Poznań17%83%44%56%
Cracovia Kraków41%59%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lech Poznań71%29%88%12%
Cracovia Kraków91%9%98%2%

1st Half

139%
X42%
219%

1st Score

160%
X5%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

11%

X-2

7%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.9%

1-1

10.3%

1-0

9.4%

2-0

8.6%

3-1

6.3%

3-0

5.9%

1-2

5.8%

2-2

5.5%

0-0

5.4%

0-1

5.0%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lech Poznań – Korona Kielce prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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