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Wisła Kraków vs Katowice 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
Wisła KrakówWisła Kraków

2–1

KatowiceKatowice
1.6Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Wisła Kraków would usually take 1.1 points and Katowice 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Wisła Kraków.

Wisła Kraków +1.9 pts vs chancesKatowice −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wisła Kraków vs Katowice stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Wisła Kraków

Katowice

3

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

1

5

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

3

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Wisła Kraków and Katowice ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Wisła Kraków win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Wisła Kraków vs Katowice — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Kraków to win

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Kraków ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Wisła Kraków Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Kraków 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Wisła Kraków 0–1 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Katowice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Katowice 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wisła Kraków vs Katowice 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wisła Kraków vs Katowice. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Wisła KrakówWisła Kraków2
KatowiceKatowice1

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

153%
X22%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wisła Kraków18%82%46%54%
Katowice37%63%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wisła Kraków73%27%89%11%
Katowice88%12%96%4%

1st Half

140%
X39%
221%

1st Score

155%
X4%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

18%

X-X

13%

2-2

13%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

10.1%

1-0

8.8%

2-0

7.9%

2-2

6.3%

1-2

6.2%

3-1

6.2%

0-1

5.5%

0-0

4.5%

3-0

4.4%

3-2

4.2%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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