Always chasing
7/10Katowice conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków
3.3goals expected · Ekstraklasa average 2.8
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 65%
Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.3 goals expected
3.3 goals in total: more goals than a typical Ekstraklasa game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Katowice2.0
Wieczysta Kraków1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Katowice to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 3,440 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 65%
Our track record
In 1,121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 905 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 6,610 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Katowice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Katowice 2+ goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,775 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Wieczysta Kraków Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wieczysta Kraków 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Katowice–
Wieczysta Kraków–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Katowice–Wieczysta Kraków–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
146%
X23%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 47% | 53% |
| 31% | 69% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
131%
X40%
229%
1st Score
148%
X4%
249%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
20%
X-1
15%
X-X
14%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Katowice: always chasing and leaky
7/10Leaky
1/10Katowice kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Katowice: good attack, weak defence (1.98 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
- Wieczysta Kraków: weak attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 1.71 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- KatowiceBookmakers: 47% to win today.+0.6
- Wieczysta KrakówBookmakers: 29% to win today. · 9 of 10 games−3.3
Last 5 matches
KatowiceW
W
L
L
W
Wieczysta KrakówW
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Katowice 5th of 18 · Wieczysta Kraków 13th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredKatowice and Wieczysta Kraków games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ekstraklasa average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Katowice8 of 10
Wieczysta Kraków6 of 9
BTTSleague 60%
Katowice7 of 10
Wieczysta Kraków6 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 298 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameWieczysta Kraków: last 9 with these statsKatowice score late
Katowice
Wieczysta Kraków
4.5
Corners won · league 4.9
4.9
5.2
Corners conceded · league 4.9
6.0
2.3
Cards · league 2.0
2.1
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.2
19%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
29%
48%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
21%
40%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
29%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
47%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Katowice2/5
Wieczysta Kraków2/5
Both Teams to Score
Katowice4/5
Wieczysta Kraków2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Katowice4/5
Wieczysta Kraków2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Katowice2/5
Wieczysta Kraków4/5
First Half Result
Katowice2/5
Wieczysta Kraków4/5
Correct Score
Katowice0/5
Wieczysta Kraków1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction