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Raków Częstochowa vs Górnik Zabrze 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Raków Częstochowa1–2
Górnik ZabrzeOn these chances Raków Częstochowa would usually take 1.6 points and Górnik Zabrze 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Górnik Zabrze.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Raków Częstochowa vs Górnik Zabrze stats: how the match was played
Ekstraklasa
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Raków Częstochowa
Górnik Zabrze
3
Shots on target
3
4
Big chances
3
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow cards
1
1
Red cards
0
62%
Possession
38%
Raków Częstochowa vs Górnik Zabrze — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Raków Częstochowa to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Górnik Zabrze to win.
Our track record
In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Raków Częstochowa 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Górnik Zabrze 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Raków Częstochowa vs Górnik Zabrze 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Raków Częstochowa vs Górnik Zabrze. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Raków Częstochowa1
Górnik Zabrze2Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Raków Częstochowa1Górnik Zabrze2Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
| 39% | 61% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score