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Wisła Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
Wisła KrakówWisła Kraków

2–0

Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok
2.2Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Wisła Kraków would usually take 2.5 points and Jagiellonia Białystok 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Wisła Kraków.

Wisła Kraków +0.5 pts vs chancesJagiellonia Białystok −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wisła Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Wisła Kraków had more than twice the shots on target

Wisła Kraków

Jagiellonia Białystok

7

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

0

11

Corners

0

0

Yellow cards

1

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Wisła Kraków and Jagiellonia Białystok ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Wisła Kraków win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zagłębie Lubin – Jagiellonia Białystok prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Wisła Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Kraków to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Kraków ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Wisła Kraków Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Kraków 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Jagiellonia Białystok Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wisła Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wisła Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Wisła KrakówWisła Kraków2
Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

148%
X25%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wisła Kraków20%80%49%51%
Jagiellonia Białystok33%67%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wisła Kraków75%25%90%10%
Jagiellonia Białystok86%14%95%5%

1st Half

138%
X38%
225%

1st Score

155%
X5%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

17%

2-2

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

8%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

2-1

10.0%

1-0

8.3%

1-2

6.8%

2-0

6.8%

2-2

6.8%

0-1

5.7%

3-1

5.3%

0-0

4.6%

3-2

4.0%

3-0

4.0%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zagłębie Lubin – Jagiellonia Białystok prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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