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Lillestrøm vs Viking 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 11)

Fair result
LillestrømLillestrøm

1–2

VikingViking
1.1Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Lillestrøm would usually take 0.9 points and Viking 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Viking.

Lillestrøm −0.9 pts vs chancesViking +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lillestrøm vs Viking stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Viking had more than twice the shots on target

Lillestrøm

Viking

1

Shots on target

6

4

Big chances

4

3

Corners

9

2

Yellow cards

4

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Lillestrøm and Viking ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Viking win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sandefjord – Lillestrøm prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Lillestrøm vs Viking — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Lillestrøm Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lillestrøm 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Viking Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lillestrøm vs Viking 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lillestrøm vs Viking. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
LillestrømLillestrøm1
VikingViking2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 50%

Full Time

130%
X23%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lillestrøm32%68%63%37%
Viking21%79%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lillestrøm84%16%94%6%
Viking73%27%89%11%

1st Half

129%
X38%
234%

1st Score

146%
X4%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

19%

X-X

13%

X-2

13%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.1%

1-2

9.3%

0-1

7.0%

2-1

7.0%

0-2

6.4%

2-2

6.4%

1-0

5.8%

1-3

5.5%

0-0

4.1%

2-3

4.1%

0-3

4.1%

2-0

3.8%

3-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sandefjord – Lillestrøm prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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