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Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 13)
Fredrikstad0–2
LillestrømOn these chances Fredrikstad would usually take 1.1 points and Lillestrøm 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lillestrøm.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm stats: how the match was played
Eliteserien
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Lillestrøm had more than twice the shots on target
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
1
Shots on target
4
1
Big chances
1
8
Corners
3
3
Yellow cards
1
61%
Possession
39%
Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eliteserien
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fredrikstad to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lillestrøm to win.
Our track record
In 1,053 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 2,002 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fredrikstad 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Lillestrøm 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Fredrikstad0
Lillestrøm2Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Fredrikstad0Lillestrøm2Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| 30% | 70% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
20%
X-X
15%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score