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Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Fair result
KristiansundKristiansund

0–0

Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
0.9Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Kristiansund would usually take 1.4 points and Sarpsborg 08 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sarpsborg 08.

Kristiansund −0.4 pts vs chancesSarpsborg 08 −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08 stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sarpsborg 08 had more than twice the shots on target

Kristiansund

Sarpsborg 08

1

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

1

4

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

2

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Kristiansund and Sarpsborg 08 ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Kristiansund win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kristiansund to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sarpsborg 08 to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Kristiansund Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kristiansund 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Sarpsborg 08 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sarpsborg 08 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sarpsborg 08 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
KristiansundKristiansund0
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 080

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

139%
X24%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kristiansund25%75%55%45%
Sarpsborg 0827%73%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kristiansund79%21%92%8%
Sarpsborg 0880%20%93%7%

1st Half

132%
X38%
230%

1st Score

150%
X4%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

21%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

2-1

8.5%

1-2

8.2%

2-2

7.0%

1-0

6.9%

0-1

6.2%

2-0

5.3%

0-2

5.1%

3-1

4.5%

0-0

4.4%

1-3

4.2%

3-2

3.6%

2-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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