1. Brann vs Vålerenga

Brann vs Vålerenga 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 15)

Fair result
BrannBrann

2–3

VålerengaVålerenga
2.5Chances (xG)2.7

On these chances Brann would usually take 1.3 points and Vålerenga 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Brann.

Brann −1.3 pts vs chancesVålerenga +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Brann vs Vålerenga stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Vålerenga had clearly more shots on target

Brann

Vålerenga

7

Shots on target

12

5

Big chances

5

10

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

5

0

Red cards

1

71%

Possession

29%

The match between Brann and Vålerenga ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Brann win at 58% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Vålerenga – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Brann vs Vålerenga — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann to win

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Brann Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Vålerenga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vålerenga 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Brann vs Vålerenga 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Brann vs Vålerenga. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
BrannBrann2
VålerengaVålerenga3

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

158%
X21%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Brann16%84%43%57%
Vålerenga42%58%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Brann69%31%86%14%
Vålerenga91%9%97%3%

1st Half

141%
X38%
220%

1st Score

162%
X5%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

17%

X-X

12%

2-2

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

2-1

10.6%

1-1

9.8%

1-0

8.9%

2-0

8.6%

3-1

6.5%

3-0

6.1%

1-2

5.8%

2-2

5.5%

0-1

4.8%

0-0

4.7%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Vålerenga – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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