Molde vs KFUM 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 20)

Fair result
MoldeMolde

2–0

KFUMKFUM
2.1Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Molde would usually take 2.5 points and KFUM 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Molde.

Molde +0.5 pts vs chancesKFUM −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Molde vs KFUM stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Molde had more than twice the shots on target

Molde

KFUM

6

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

0

9

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

1

72%

Possession

29%

The match between Molde and KFUM ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Molde win with 55% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Molde – Start prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Molde vs KFUM — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Molde to win

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Molde ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Molde Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Molde 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

KFUM Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

KFUM 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Molde vs KFUM 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Molde vs KFUM. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MoldeMolde2
KFUMKFUM0

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

155%
X23%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Molde17%83%43%57%
KFUM40%60%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Molde68%32%85%15%
KFUM90%10%97%3%

1st Half

144%
X37%
219%

1st Score

164%
X5%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

17%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.0%

2-1

9.7%

1-0

8.0%

2-0

7.8%

3-1

6.1%

2-2

5.9%

1-2

5.8%

3-0

5.2%

0-1

4.9%

0-0

4.8%

3-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Molde – Start prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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