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Lillestrøm vs Vålerenga 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 21)
Lillestrøm won with less than half the chances
Lillestrøm2–0
VålerengaOn these chances Lillestrøm would usually take 0.7 points and Vålerenga 2.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Lillestrøm.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Lillestrøm vs Vålerenga stats: how the match was played
Eliteserien
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Vålerenga had clearly more shots on target
Lillestrøm
Vålerenga
2
Shots on target
3
2
Big chances
2
6
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
4
51%
Possession
50%
Lillestrøm vs Vålerenga — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eliteserien
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Lillestrøm to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lillestrøm ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Lillestrøm 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Vålerenga 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Lillestrøm vs Vålerenga 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lillestrøm vs Vålerenga. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Lillestrøm2
Vålerenga0Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Lillestrøm2Vålerenga0Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 86% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 44% | 56% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 49% | 51% |
| 29% | 71% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 88% | 12% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
18%
X-1
16%
X-X
13%
X-2
9%
2-X
7%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score