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Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
TelstarTelstar

1–3

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
0.7Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Telstar would usually take 0.5 points and Sparta Rotterdam 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Telstar.

Telstar −0.5 pts vs chancesSparta Rotterdam +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sparta Rotterdam had more than twice the shots on target

Telstar

Sparta Rotterdam

1

Shots on target

9

2

Big chances

6

7

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

1

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Telstar win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Telstar to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Telstar Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Telstar 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Telstar 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Sparta Rotterdam Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eredivisie - Netherlands
TelstarTelstar1
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

139%
X25%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Telstar27%73%56%44%
Sparta Rotterdam28%72%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Telstar80%20%92%8%
Sparta Rotterdam81%19%92%8%

1st Half

127%
X39%
234%

1st Score

146%
X5%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

21%

X-X

15%

X-1

12%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

7.9%

1-0

7.0%

2-2

6.6%

0-1

6.5%

2-0

5.3%

0-0

5.1%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.3%

1-3

4.0%

3-2

3.5%

2-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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