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Fortuna Sittard vs AZ 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard

0–2

AZAZ
0.5Chances (xG)2.9

On these chances Fortuna Sittard would usually take 0.2 points and AZ 2.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: AZ.

Fortuna Sittard −0.2 pts vs chancesAZ +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

AZ had more than twice the shots on target

Fortuna Sittard

AZ

2

Shots on target

11

1

Big chances

5

1

Corners

15

0

Yellow cards

1

1

Red cards

0

28%

Possession

72%

The match between Fortuna Sittard and AZ ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an AZ win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SC Cambuur – AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AZ to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AZ ahead at half-time.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Fortuna Sittard Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortuna Sittard 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

AZ Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AZ 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eredivisie - Netherlands
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard0
AZAZ2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

132%
X23%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Fortuna Sittard32%68%61%39%
AZ22%78%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Fortuna Sittard83%17%94%6%
AZ73%27%88%12%

1st Half

125%
X38%
237%

1st Score

143%
X4%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

1-1

17%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.7%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

7.2%

0-1

6.6%

2-2

6.5%

0-2

6.0%

1-0

5.7%

1-3

5.1%

0-0

4.2%

2-0

4.0%

2-3

3.9%

0-3

3.9%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SC Cambuur – AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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