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NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles

NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

NEC

1–1

Go Ahead Eagles

1.6Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances NEC would usually take 1.1 points and Go Ahead Eagles 1.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: NEC.

NEC −0.1 pts vs chancesGo Ahead Eagles −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

NEC

Go Ahead Eagles

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

46%

Possession

54%

The match between NEC and Go Ahead Eagles ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a NEC win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: NEC – Fortuna Sittard prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

NEC to win

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

NEC ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

NEC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

NEC 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Go Ahead Eagles Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Go Ahead Eagles 2+ goals.

Our model 71%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eredivisie - Netherlands

NEC1

Go Ahead Eagles1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Eredivisie - Netherlands

NEC1

Go Ahead Eagles1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

154%

X22%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	40%	60%	52%	48%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	45%	55%	70%	30%	86%	14%
	41%	59%	71%	29%	89%	11%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	45%	55%
	41%	59%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	70%	30%	86%	14%
	89%	11%	96%	4%

1st Half

152%

X30%

218%

1st Score

166%

X5%

229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

43%

X-1

17%

X-X

10%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

9.6%

2-1

9.6%

1-0

9.1%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

5.8%

3-1

5.7%

0-0

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

0-1

5.3%

3-0

5.0%

3-2

3.9%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles — Recent Form

Go Ahead Eagles have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. NEC have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles

NEC

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

NEC

1/5

Go Ahead Eagles

1/5

Both Teams to Score

NEC

4/5

Go Ahead Eagles

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

NEC

3/5

Go Ahead Eagles

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

NEC

3/5

Go Ahead Eagles

2/5

First Half Result

NEC

2/5

Go Ahead Eagles

1/5

Correct Score

NEC

1/5

Go Ahead Eagles

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: NEC – Fortuna Sittard prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).