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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win

Our model 52%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 37%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2+ goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Olympique Marseille Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Marseille 0–1 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

Bayer 04 Leverkusen–

Olympique Marseille–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Europa League - Europe

Bayer 04 Leverkusen–

Olympique Marseille–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

152%

X21%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%	54%	46%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	48%	52%	74%	26%	89%	11%
	38%	62%	69%	31%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	48%	52%
	38%	62%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	89%	11%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

137%

X37%

226%

1st Score

156%

X5%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

2-2

19%

X-1

16%

X-X

12%

X-2

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.0%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

8.8%

2-0

8.1%

1-2

6.1%

0-1

5.7%

3-1

5.6%

2-2

5.3%

3-0

5.1%

0-0

4.7%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

3/3

Olympique Marseille

2/3

Both Teams to Score

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0/3

Olympique Marseille

1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1/3

Olympique Marseille

1/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2/3

Olympique Marseille

2/3

First Half Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1/3

Olympique Marseille

1/3

Correct Score

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0/3

Olympique Marseille

0/3

correct predictionwrong prediction