Home
Leagues
Europa League
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

The match between CSKA Sofia and Derry City ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a CSKA Sofia win with 37% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City — Europa League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · 1st Qualifying Round

Full-Time Result →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

+4.8% Above implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

+4.8% Above implied probability

┊ 47.7% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

-8.6% Near implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

-8.6% Near implied probability

┊ 54.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

-8.4% Near implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

-8.4% Near implied probability

┊ 54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

-16.2% Below implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

-16.2% Below implied probability

┊ 59.7% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

+27.9% Strongly above implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

+27.9% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 39.1% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

CSKA Sofia

0%(0/2)

Derry City

0%(0/2)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for CSKA Sofia and Derry City across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for CSKA Sofia hit at 50% accuracy — that's 27.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 39.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for CSKA Sofia sit 16.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for CSKA Sofia vs Derry City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa League - Europe

CSKA Sofia3

Derry City2

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Europa League - Europe

CSKA Sofia3

Derry City2

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

137%

X27%

236%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	32%	68%	67%	33%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	66%	34%
	32%	68%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

131%

X44%

225%

1st Score

152%

X9%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

18%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

10.4%

0-1

10.4%

0-0

8.7%

2-1

8.2%

1-2

7.9%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

6.1%

2-2

4.7%

1-3

3.2%

Correct Streak

CSKA Sofia

0 in a row

Derry City

0 in a row