CSKA Sofia vs Derry City 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

The match between CSKA Sofia and Derry City ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a CSKA Sofia win with 37% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: CSKA Sofia – Qarabağ prediction & betting tips (Jul 30, 2026).

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City — Europa League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · 1st Qualifying Round

Full-Time Result

46.2% implied

CSKA Sofia33.3%1/3-27.9%Below implied probability
Derry City50%1/2+8.2%Above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.7% implied

CSKA Sofia33.3%1/3-39.1%Below implied probability
Derry City50%1/2-8.6%Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

CSKA Sofia33.3%1/3-38.9%Below implied probability
Derry City50%1/2-8.3%Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.1% implied

CSKA Sofia66.7%2/3+11%Strongly above implied probability
Derry City50%1/2-16.8%Below implied probability

First Half Result

38.6% implied

CSKA Sofia66.7%2/3+72.8%Strongly above implied probability
Derry City50%1/2+29.5%Strongly above implied probability
CSKA Sofia0%0/3
Derry City0%0/2

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for CSKA Sofia and Derry City across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for CSKA Sofia hit at 67% accuracy — that's 72.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for CSKA Sofia sit 39.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for CSKA Sofia vs Derry City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia3
Derry CityDerry City2

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

137%
X27%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
CSKA Sofia32%68%66%34%
Derry City32%68%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
CSKA Sofia87%13%96%4%
Derry City87%13%96%4%

1st Half

131%
X44%
225%

1st Score

152%
X9%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

18%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

10.4%

0-1

10.4%

0-0

8.7%

2-1

8.2%

1-2

7.9%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

6.1%

2-2

4.7%

1-3

3.2%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
2 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
2 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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