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Vestri vs Qarabağ 0-3 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Vestri vs Qarabağ stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Vestri
Qarabağ
1
Corners
13
0
Yellow cards
0
Vestri vs Qarabağ — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Qarabağ to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Over 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Qarabağ ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Vestri 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Qarabağ 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Vestri vs Qarabağ 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vestri vs Qarabağ. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Vestri0
Qarabağ3Winner
2 59%
BTTS*
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 75%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 66%
Vestri0Qarabağ3Winner
2 59%
BTTS*
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 75%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 10% | 90% | 25% | 75% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 58% | 42% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 43% | 57% | 66% | 34% |
 | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 93% | 7% |
| 57% | 43% | 74% | 26% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
47%
X-2
17%
1-1
10%
X-X
8%
X-1
6%
1-2
4%
1-X
3%
2-X
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
7.9%
1-1
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
4.4%
1-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score