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CSKA Sofia vs Qarabağ 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabağ stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Qarabağ had clearly more shots on target
CSKA Sofia
Qarabağ
3
Shots on target
5
2
Corners
10
6
Yellow cards
3
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabağ — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Qarabağ to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
CSKA Sofia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Qarabağ 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabağ 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for CSKA Sofia vs Qarabağ. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
CSKA Sofia0
Qarabağ0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
CSKA Sofia0Qarabağ0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33% | 67% | 62% | 38% |
 | 23% | 77% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
1-1
18%
X-X
15%
X-2
14%
X-1
12%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score