- Home
- Lech Poznań vs KÍ
Lech Poznań vs KÍ 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Lech Poznań vs KÍ stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Lech Poznań had more than twice the shots on target
Lech Poznań
KÍ
6
Shots on target
1
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow cards
4
Lech Poznań vs KÍ — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Lech Poznań to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Lech Poznań ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Lech Poznań 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
KÍ 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Lech Poznań vs KÍ 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lech Poznań vs KÍ. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Lech Poznań1
KÍ0Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Lech Poznań1KÍ0Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19% | 81% | 45% | 55% |
 | 35% | 65% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
| 85% | 15% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
19%
X-1
17%
X-X
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score