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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers 5-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë had more than twice the shots on target
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock Rovers
14
Shots on target
3
5
Corners
8
4
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Shamrock Rovers to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win.
Our track record
In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Shamrock Rovers 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë5
Shamrock Rovers1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë5Shamrock Rovers1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 | 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
18%
X-X
17%
X-2
16%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score