1. Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzeň

Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzeň 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzeň stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Crvena Zvezda had clearly more shots on target

Crvena Zvezda

Viktoria Plzeň

7

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

0

1

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

4

The match between Crvena Zvezda and Viktoria Plzeň ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Crvena Zvezda win with 56% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzeň — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda to win

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Crvena Zvezda Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Viktoria Plzeň Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzeň 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzeň. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda3
Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň0

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

156%
X22%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Crvena Zvezda20%80%47%53%
Viktoria Plzeň44%56%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Crvena Zvezda72%28%87%13%
Viktoria Plzeň93%7%98%2%

1st Half

147%
X34%
219%

1st Score

164%
X6%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

18%

2-2

10%

X-X

9%

X-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

10.2%

1-1

10.1%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

9.0%

0-1

6.6%

0-0

6.4%

3-0

5.9%

1-2

5.8%

3-1

5.5%

2-2

4.3%

0-2

3.3%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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