2. Leagues
  3. Europa League
  4. Jagiellonia Białystok vs FC Iberia 1999

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Saburtalo 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Saburtalo stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Jagiellonia Białystok

Saburtalo

8

Shots on target

7

0

Big chances

–

4

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

5

The match between Jagiellonia Białystok and Saburtalo ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Jagiellonia Białystok win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jagiellonia Białystok – Anderlecht prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Saburtalo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Jagiellonia Białystok ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Jagiellonia Białystok Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Jagiellonia Białystok 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Saburtalo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Saburtalo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Saburtalo 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Saburtalo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa League - Europe
Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok4
SaburtaloSaburtalo0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

146%
X26%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Jagiellonia Białystok25%75%57%43%
Saburtalo38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Jagiellonia Białystok81%19%93%7%
Saburtalo89%11%97%3%

1st Half

133%
X41%
226%

1st Score

151%
X8%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

18%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

10.8%

2-1

9.2%

2-0

8.1%

0-1

8.1%

0-0

7.8%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

4.7%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

4.4%

0-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jagiellonia Białystok – Anderlecht prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores