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Omonia Nicosia vs Sint-Truiden 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Fair result
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia

4–2

Sint-TruidenSint-Truiden
2.5Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Omonia Nicosia would usually take 1.7 points and Sint-Truiden 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Omonia Nicosia.

Omonia Nicosia +1.3 pts vs chancesSint-Truiden −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Omonia Nicosia vs Sint-Truiden stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Omonia Nicosia

Sint-Truiden

5

Shots on target

5

5

Big chances

1

5

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

5

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Omonia Nicosia and Sint-Truiden ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Omonia Nicosia win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Omonia Nicosia – Benfica prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Omonia Nicosia vs Sint-Truiden — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Omonia Nicosia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Sint-Truiden Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Omonia Nicosia vs Sint-Truiden 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Omonia Nicosia vs Sint-Truiden. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa League - Europe
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia4
Sint-TruidenSint-Truiden2

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

143%
X24%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Omonia Nicosia25%75%54%46%
Sint-Truiden31%69%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Omonia Nicosia78%22%91%9%
Sint-Truiden84%16%94%6%

1st Half

131%
X41%
228%

1st Score

150%
X5%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

20%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

2-1

8.7%

1-0

7.8%

1-2

7.3%

0-1

6.9%

2-0

6.3%

2-2

6.0%

0-0

5.3%

0-2

4.7%

3-1

4.6%

3-0

3.5%

1-3

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Omonia Nicosia – Benfica prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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