Thun vs Lech Poznań 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

The match between Thun and Lech Poznań ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Lech Poznań win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Thun vs Lech Poznań — Europa League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Play-offs

Full-Time Result

42.9% implied

Lech Poznań40%2/5-6.8%Near implied probability
Thun50%2/4+16.6%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.5% implied

Lech Poznań20%1/5-63.3%Below implied probability
Thun50%2/4-8.3%Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.9% implied

Lech Poznań80%4/5+48.4%Strongly above implied probability
Thun100%4/4+85.5%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.1% implied

Lech Poznań20%1/5-66.2%Below implied probability
Thun25%1/4-57.7%Below implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Lech Poznań20%1/5-46.8%Below implied probability
Thun25%1/4-33.5%Below implied probability
Lech Poznań0%0/5
Thun0%0/4

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Thun and Lech Poznań across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Thun hit at 100% accuracy — that's 85.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Lech Poznań sit 66.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Thun vs Lech Poznań 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Thun vs Lech Poznań. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ThunThun2
Lech PoznańLech Poznań2

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS**

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

128%
X22%
250%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Thun35%65%64%36%
Lech Poznań19%81%45%55%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Thun84%16%94%6%
Lech Poznań70%30%87%13%

1st Half

120%
X36%
244%

1st Score

134%
X4%
262%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

36%

X-2

15%

1-1

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.3%

1-2

9.1%

0-1

7.0%

2-1

6.8%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

6.4%

1-3

5.6%

1-0

5.0%

0-3

4.5%

2-3

4.1%

0-0

4.1%

2-0

3.2%

3-1

3.1%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Thun vs Lech Poznań — Prediction Form & Streaks

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Lech Poznań well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Lech PoznańLech Poznań
0 in a row
ThunThun
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Lech PoznańLech Poznań
0 in a row
ThunThun
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Lech PoznańLech Poznań
4 in a row
ThunThun
4 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Lech PoznańLech Poznań
0 in a row
ThunThun
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Lech PoznańLech Poznań
0 in a row
ThunThun
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Lech PoznańLech Poznań
0 in a row
ThunThun
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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