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Lillestrøm vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)
Lillestrøm vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Lillestrøm
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4
Shots on target
4
0
Big chances
0
9
Corners
8
3
Yellow cards
2
Lillestrøm vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Lillestrøm to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Lillestrøm ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Lillestrøm 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Lillestrøm vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lillestrøm vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Lillestrøm2
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Lillestrøm2Egnatia Rrogozhinë1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 49% | 51% |
 | 36% | 64% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
19%
X-X
12%
2-2
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score