Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Friendly International - Season 2026 Friendlies 3 (Knock Out)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Ethiopia vs Malawi. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Ethiopia vs Malawi — Friendly International Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Friendlies 3

Full-Time Result →

Malawi

50%(1/2)

+1% Above implied probability

Ethiopia

100%(1/1)

+102% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 49.5% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Malawi

100%(2/2)

+83.8% Strongly above implied probability

Ethiopia

100%(1/1)

+83.8% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.4% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Malawi

100%(2/2)

+84.8% Strongly above implied probability

Ethiopia

100%(1/1)

+84.8% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Malawi

100%(2/2)

+60.8% Strongly above implied probability

Ethiopia

100%(1/1)

+60.8% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 62.2% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Malawi

50%(1/2)

+25.3% Strongly above implied probability

Ethiopia

0%(0/1)

-100% Below implied probability

┊ 39.9% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Malawi

0%(0/2)

Ethiopia

0%(0/1)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Ethiopia and Malawi across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Ethiopia hit at 100% accuracy — that's 102% above the bookmaker baseline of 49.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Ethiopia sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Ethiopia vs Malawi — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ethiopia vs Malawi. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Full Time


1	43%
X	30%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	68%	32%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	29%
X	50%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
23%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	10%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	24%	2%

1st Score


1	50%
X	12%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
29%	71%	63%	37%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
85%	15%	95%	5%
91%	9%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2	2-2	0-2	3-1	3-0
12.6%	12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.2%	4.5%	4.4%	3.7%	3.3%

Full Time


1	43%
X	30%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	68%	32%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	29%
X	50%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
23%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	10%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	24%	2%

1st Score


1	50%
X	12%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
29%	71%	63%	37%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
85%	15%	95%	5%
91%	9%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
12.6%	12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.2%

Full Time


1	43%
X	30%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	68%	32%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	29%
X	50%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
23%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	10%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	24%	2%

1st Score


1	50%
X	12%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
29%	71%	63%	37%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
85%	15%	95%	5%
91%	9%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2	2-2	0-2	3-1	3-0
12.6%	12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.2%	4.5%	4.4%	3.7%	3.3%

Full Time


1	43%
X	30%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	68%	32%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	29%
X	50%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
23%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	10%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	24%	2%

1st Score


1	50%
X	12%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
29%	71%	63%	37%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
85%	15%	95%	5%
91%	9%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
12.6%	12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.2%

0 in a row

Ethiopia

0 in a row