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  4. Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb

Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
OsijekOsijek

4–2

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
2.1Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Osijek would usually take 1.5 points and Dinamo Zagreb 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Dinamo Zagreb.

Osijek +1.5 pts vs chancesDinamo Zagreb −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb stats: how the match was played

1. HNL

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Osijek had more than twice the shots on target

Osijek

Dinamo Zagreb

9

Shots on target

4

6

Big chances

3

2

Corners

6

4

Yellow cards

3

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Osijek and Dinamo Zagreb ended 4-2. Our AI model predicted an Dinamo Zagreb win at 58% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Slaven Koprivnica – Dinamo Zagreb prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb to win

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Osijek Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Osijek 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Dinamo Zagreb Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
1. HNL - Croatia
OsijekOsijek4
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb2

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

120%
X22%
258%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Osijek44%56%74%26%
Dinamo Zagreb17%83%42%58%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Osijek91%9%97%3%
Dinamo Zagreb67%33%85%15%

1st Half

121%
X39%
240%

1st Score

136%
X5%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-X

16%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-1

9%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-1

9.3%

1-2

9.1%

0-2

9.0%

0-1

8.6%

0-3

6.6%

1-3

6.5%

0-0

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

2-1

5.1%

1-0

4.9%

2-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Slaven Koprivnica – Dinamo Zagreb prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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