1. Staphorst vs UNA

Staphorst vs UNA 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

KNVB Beker - Season 2026/2027 1st Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

Staphorst vs UNA stats: how the match was played

KNVB Beker

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Staphorst

UNA

11

Corners

8

0

Yellow cards

0

The match between Staphorst and UNA ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Staphorst win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Staphorst vs UNA — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · KNVB Beker

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Staphorst to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 39%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Staphorst Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Staphorst 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

UNA Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

UNA 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Staphorst vs UNA 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Staphorst vs UNA. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
StaphorstStaphorst2
UNAUNA2

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

Full Time

149%
X20%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%33%67%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT44%56%69%31%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Staphorst21%79%46%54%
UNA35%65%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Staphorst70%30%85%15%
UNA82%18%93%7%

1st Half

134%
X39%
227%

1st Score

153%
X4%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

2-2

19%

X-1

15%

X-X

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

8.3%

2-1

8.1%

1-0

6.6%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

6.1%

2-0

6.1%

3-1

5.7%

0-1

4.7%

3-0

4.3%

3-2

4.0%

0-0

3.8%

0-2

3.7%

1-3

3.7%

2-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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