1. Genemuiden vs Lisse

Genemuiden vs Lisse 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

KNVB Beker - Season 2026/2027 1st Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

Genemuiden vs Lisse stats: how the match was played

KNVB Beker

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Genemuiden

Lisse

3

Corners

6

0

Yellow cards

0

The match between Genemuiden and Lisse ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Lisse win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genemuiden – FC Dordrecht prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Genemuiden vs Lisse — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · KNVB Beker

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lisse to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Genemuiden to win.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.6% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lisse ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Genemuiden Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genemuiden 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Lisse Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lisse 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lisse 0–1 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Genemuiden vs Lisse 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Genemuiden vs Lisse. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
GenemuidenGenemuiden2
LisseLisse1

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

127%
X21%
252%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%33%67%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT43%57%68%32%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Genemuiden37%63%64%36%
Lisse19%81%43%57%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Genemuiden84%16%94%6%
Lisse67%33%84%16%

1st Half

124%
X37%
239%

1st Score

139%
X4%
257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

1-1

19%

X-X

14%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

8.6%

1-2

8.1%

0-2

6.8%

0-1

6.5%

1-3

6.2%

2-1

6.0%

2-2

5.7%

2-3

4.5%

1-0

4.4%

0-3

4.0%

0-0

3.9%

3-1

3.4%

3-2

3.3%

2-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genemuiden – FC Dordrecht prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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