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Waterford United vs Drogheda United 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Premier Division - Season 2026 (Round 35)
Waterford United3–1
Drogheda UnitedOn these chances Waterford United would usually take 1.9 points and Drogheda United 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Waterford United.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Waterford United vs Drogheda United stats: how the match was played
Premier Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Waterford United had more than twice the shots on target
Waterford United
Drogheda United
7
Shots on target
2
2
Big chances
2
7
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
1
59%
Possession
41%
Waterford United vs Drogheda United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Waterford United to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,707 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Waterford United ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Waterford United 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Drogheda United 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,288 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Waterford United vs Drogheda United 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Waterford United vs Drogheda United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Waterford United3
Drogheda United1Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Waterford United3Drogheda United1Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 48% | 52% |
| 38% | 63% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
17%
X-X
15%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Waterford United vs Drogheda United — Recent Form
Waterford United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Drogheda United have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Waterford UnitedDrogheda UnitedOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Drogheda UnitedWaterford UnitedBoth Teams to Score
Drogheda UnitedWaterford UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Drogheda UnitedWaterford UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Drogheda UnitedWaterford UnitedFirst Half Result
Drogheda UnitedWaterford UnitedCorrect Score
Drogheda UnitedWaterford United