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Leicester City vs Stevenage

Leicester City vs Stevenage 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Robbed

Leicester City drew despite more chances

Leicester City

2–2

Stevenage

1.9Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Leicester City would usually take 2.1 points and Stevenage 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Leicester City.

Leicester City −1.1 pts vs chancesStevenage +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Leicester City vs Stevenage stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Leicester City had clearly more shots on target

Leicester City

Stevenage

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

66%

Possession

34%

The match between Leicester City and Stevenage ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Leicester City win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stevenage – Mansfield Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Leicester City vs Stevenage — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City to win

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,718 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,961 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,647 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.2% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Leicester City Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Leicester City 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,881 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.

Stevenage Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stevenage 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Leicester City vs Stevenage 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Leicester City vs Stevenage. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Leicester City2

Stevenage2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

League One - England

Leicester City2

Stevenage2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

150%

X24%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%	58%	42%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%	76%	24%	91%	9%
	37%	63%	70%	30%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%
	37%	63%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	91%	9%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

144%

X37%

219%

1st Score

162%

X6%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

16%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

2-1

9.8%

1-0

9.7%

2-0

7.6%

1-2

6.8%

0-1

6.5%

0-0

5.7%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

4.9%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Leicester City vs Stevenage — Recent Form

Leicester City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Stevenage have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Leicester City

Stevenage

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Leicester City

4/5

Stevenage

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Leicester City

3/5

Stevenage

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Leicester City

4/5

Stevenage

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Leicester City

3/5

Stevenage

4/5

First Half Result

Leicester City

2/5

Stevenage

3/5

Correct Score

Leicester City

0/5

Stevenage

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stevenage – Mansfield Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).