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Colchester United vs Walsall 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Colchester United1–3
WalsallOn these chances Colchester United would usually take 1.8 points and Walsall 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Colchester United.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Colchester United vs Walsall stats: how the match was played
League Two
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Walsall had clearly more shots on target
Colchester United
Walsall
6
Shots on target
9
2
Big chances
3
10
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
3
46%
Possession
54%
Colchester United vs Walsall — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Walsall to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Colchester United to win.
Our track record
In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 534 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,703 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.7% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Colchester United 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Our model’s pick
Walsall 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Colchester United vs Walsall 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Colchester United vs Walsall. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Colchester United1
Walsall3Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Colchester United1Walsall3Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% |
| 35% | 65% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
21%
2-2
19%
1-1
18%
X-2
14%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Colchester United vs Walsall — Recent Form
Walsall have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Colchester United have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 23rd in the table.
Last 5 matches
WalsallColchester UnitedOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Colchester UnitedWalsallBoth Teams to Score
Colchester UnitedWalsallOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Colchester UnitedWalsallOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Colchester UnitedWalsallFirst Half Result
Colchester UnitedWalsallCorrect Score
Colchester UnitedWalsall