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Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 4)

Fair result
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali

3–0

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
1.5Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Deportivo Cali would usually take 2.0 points and Deportivo Pasto 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo Cali.

Deportivo Cali +1.0 pts vs chancesDeportivo Pasto −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Deportivo Cali had more than twice the shots on target

Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Pasto

7

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

0

2

Corners

1

5

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

2

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Deportivo Cali and Deportivo Pasto ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Deportivo Cali win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,229 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.4% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Deportivo Cali Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Deportivo Pasto Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pasto 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 2,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali3
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

145%
X30%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Cali28%72%63%37%
Deportivo Pasto42%58%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo Cali87%13%96%4%
Deportivo Pasto94%6%99%1%

1st Half

131%
X50%
219%

1st Score

153%
X12%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

21%

X-1

19%

2-2

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.6%

1-1

13.0%

0-0

11.8%

0-1

9.7%

2-1

9.2%

2-0

8.9%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

4.3%

0-2

4.1%

3-0

3.6%

3-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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