- Home
- Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo
Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo 5-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 1)
Once Caldas5–1
Cúcuta DeportivoOn these chances Once Caldas would usually take 1.4 points and Cúcuta Deportivo 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Once Caldas.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Once Caldas
Cúcuta Deportivo
8
Shots on target
6
2
Big chances
0
7
Corners
10
2
Yellow cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Once Caldas to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Once Caldas ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Once Caldas 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Cúcuta Deportivo 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Once Caldas5
Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Once Caldas5Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 48% | 52% |
| 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 91% | 9% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
23%
X-X
15%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score