Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 2)

The match between Alianza Petrolera and Deportes Tolima ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Alianza Petrolera win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Alianza Petrolera – Deportivo Pereira prediction & betting tips (Aug 22, 2026).

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima — Liga BetPlay Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 2 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

44.5% implied

Alianza Petrolera36.4%8/22-18.2%Below implied probability
Deportes Tolima48.1%13/27+8.1%Above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Alianza Petrolera50%11/22-8.1%Near implied probability
Deportes Tolima44.4%12/27-18.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.1% implied

Alianza Petrolera59.1%13/22+9.2%Above implied probability
Deportes Tolima63%17/27+16.5%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

61.1% implied

Alianza Petrolera81.8%18/22+33.9%Strongly above implied probability
Deportes Tolima74.1%20/27+21.3%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.6% implied

Alianza Petrolera50%11/22+29.5%Strongly above implied probability
Deportes Tolima37%10/27-4.1%Near implied probability
Alianza Petrolera18.2%4/22
Deportes Tolima7.4%2/27

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Alianza Petrolera and Deportes Tolima across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Alianza Petrolera hit at 82% accuracy — that's 33.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Deportes Tolima sit 18.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera1
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

144%
X29%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Alianza Petrolera28%72%64%36%
Deportes Tolima41%59%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Alianza Petrolera87%13%96%4%
Deportes Tolima93%7%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X47%
221%

1st Score

153%
X11%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

21%

X-1

17%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.9%

1-1

13.8%

0-0

11.0%

0-1

9.8%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.6%

1-2

6.3%

0-2

4.6%

2-2

4.2%

3-1

3.5%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima — Prediction Form & Streaks

Deportes Tolima have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Alianza Petrolera have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
1 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
0 in a row

Alianza Petrolera & Deportes Tolima Teams in Best Form

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
W
L
W
W
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
L
L
D
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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