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Atlético Bucaramanga vs Cúcuta Deportivo 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 3)
Atlético Bucaramanga1–1
Cúcuta DeportivoOn these chances Atlético Bucaramanga would usually take 1.8 points and Cúcuta Deportivo 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Bucaramanga.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Atlético Bucaramanga vs Cúcuta Deportivo stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Atlético Bucaramanga had more than twice the shots on target
Atlético Bucaramanga
Cúcuta Deportivo
9
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
3
3
Corners
1
5
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
1
64%
Possession
36%
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Cúcuta Deportivo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
WrongOur track record
In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Cúcuta Deportivo 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Cúcuta Deportivo 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Cúcuta Deportivo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Atlético Bucaramanga1
Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Atlético Bucaramanga1Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 40% | 60% |
| 52% | 48% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 86% | 14% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
21%
X-X
13%
2-2
7%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
10.6%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score