Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín 2-3 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 3)
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín — Liga BetPlay Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 3 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
44.5% implied
Independiente Medellín36.4%8/22-18.2%Below implied probability
Deportes Tolima48.1%13/27+8.1%Above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Independiente Medellín27.3%6/22-49.8%Below implied probabilityDeportes Tolima44.4%12/27-18.4%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.1% implied
Independiente Medellín27.3%6/22-49.5%Below implied probabilityDeportes Tolima63%17/27+16.5%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61.1% implied
Independiente Medellín68.2%15/22+11.6%Strongly above implied probabilityDeportes Tolima74.1%20/27+21.3%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.7% implied
Independiente Medellín40.9%9/22+5.7%Above implied probabilityDeportes Tolima37%10/27-4.4%Near implied probabilityIndependiente Medellín3/22Deportes Tolima2/27Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellín across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Deportes Tolima hit at 74% accuracy — that's 21.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Independiente Medellín sit 49.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Deportes Tolima2
Independiente Medellín3Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Deportes Tolima2Independiente Medellín3Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 56% | 44% |
| 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
19%
X-X
18%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-1
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín — Prediction Form & Streaks
Independiente Medellín have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Deportes Tolima have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 3th in the table.
Independiente MedellínDeportes TolimaIndependiente MedellínDeportes TolimaIndependiente MedellínDeportes TolimaIndependiente MedellínDeportes TolimaIndependiente MedellínDeportes TolimaIndependiente MedellínDeportes TolimaDeportes Tolima & Independiente Medellín Teams in Best Form
Independiente MedellínDeportes Tolima