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Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Águilas

Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Águilas 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result

Deportivo Cali

2–0

Rionegro Águilas

1.4Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Deportivo Cali would usually take 1.5 points and Rionegro Águilas 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo Cali.

Deportivo Cali +1.5 pts vs chancesRionegro Águilas −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Águilas stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Deportivo Cali had more than twice the shots on target

Deportivo Cali

Rionegro Águilas

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Deportivo Cali and Rionegro Águilas ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Deportivo Cali win with 57% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Deportes Tolima prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Águilas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 80%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Deportivo Cali Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Deportivo Cali 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Rionegro Águilas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rionegro Águilas 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 83%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Águilas 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Águilas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Deportivo Cali2

Rionegro Águilas0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Deportivo Cali2

Rionegro Águilas0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

157%

X26%

217%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	33%	67%	59%	41%	70%	30%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	33%	67%	59%	41%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	70%	30%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	55%	45%	81%	19%	94%	6%
	49%	51%	83%	17%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	55%	45%
	49%	51%	83%	17%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	94%	6%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

141%

X44%

215%

1st Score

163%

X10%

227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

21%

X-X

18%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

16.3%

1-1

12.5%

2-0

11.6%

2-1

10.1%

0-0

9.5%

0-1

6.9%

3-0

5.6%

3-1

4.5%

1-2

4.3%

2-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Águilas — Recent Form

Deportivo Cali have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Rionegro Águilas have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Deportivo Cali

Rionegro Águilas

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Rionegro Águilas

3/5

Deportivo Cali

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Rionegro Águilas

3/5

Deportivo Cali

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rionegro Águilas

3/5

Deportivo Cali

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rionegro Águilas

4/5

Deportivo Cali

4/5

First Half Result

Rionegro Águilas

1/5

Deportivo Cali

2/5

Correct Score

Rionegro Águilas

2/5

Deportivo Cali

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Deportes Tolima prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).