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Jaguares de Córdoba vs América de Cali 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 8)
América de Cali drew despite more chances
Jaguares de Córdoba2–2
América de CaliOn these chances Jaguares de Córdoba would usually take 0.4 points and América de Cali 2.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: América de Cali.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Jaguares de Córdoba vs América de Cali stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
América de Cali had more than twice the shots on target
Jaguares de Córdoba
América de Cali
3
Shots on target
8
2
Big chances
2
3
Corners
13
3
Yellow cards
3
36%
Possession
64%
Jaguares de Córdoba vs América de Cali — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Jaguares de Córdoba to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: América de Cali to win.
Our track record
In 1,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.6% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,094 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.9% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,275 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Jaguares de Córdoba 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,644 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.4% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
América de Cali 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,369 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Jaguares de Córdoba vs América de Cali 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jaguares de Córdoba vs América de Cali. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Jaguares de Córdoba2
América de Cali2Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Jaguares de Córdoba2América de Cali2Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 69% | 31% |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
21%
1-1
20%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score