Alianza Petrolera vs Atlético Nacional 1-5 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 8)

The match between Alianza Petrolera and Atlético Nacional ended 1-5. Our AI model correctly predicted an Atlético Nacional win with 37% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético Nacional – Millonarios prediction & betting tips (Sep 25, 2026).

Alianza Petrolera vs Atlético Nacional — Liga BetPlay Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 8 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

42.9% implied

Atlético Nacional69.7%23/33+62.5%Strongly above implied probability
Alianza Petrolera41.4%12/29-3.5%Near implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.5% implied

Atlético Nacional51.5%17/33-5.5%Near implied probability
Alianza Petrolera48.3%14/29-11.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.9% implied

Atlético Nacional39.4%13/33-26.9%Below implied probability
Alianza Petrolera55.2%16/29+2.4%Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.1% implied

Atlético Nacional75.8%25/33+28.3%Strongly above implied probability
Alianza Petrolera79.3%23/29+34.2%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Atlético Nacional42.4%14/33+12.8%Strongly above implied probability
Alianza Petrolera44.8%13/29+19.1%Strongly above implied probability
Atlético Nacional3%1/33
Alianza Petrolera13.8%4/29

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Alianza Petrolera and Atlético Nacional across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Atlético Nacional hit at 70% accuracy — that's 62.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 42.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Atlético Nacional sit 26.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Alianza Petrolera vs Atlético Nacional 1-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Alianza Petrolera vs Atlético Nacional. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera1
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional5

Winner

12 72%

BTTS**

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

135%
X28%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Alianza Petrolera34%66%69%31%
Atlético Nacional33%67%68%32%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Alianza Petrolera89%11%97%3%
Atlético Nacional88%12%96%4%

1st Half

123%
X47%
230%

1st Score

140%
X10%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-X

19%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

0-1

11.1%

1-0

10.7%

0-0

10.2%

1-2

7.9%

2-1

7.3%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

6.4%

2-2

4.2%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Alianza Petrolera vs Atlético Nacional — Prediction Form & Streaks

Atlético Nacional have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Alianza Petrolera have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Atlético Nacional well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional
0 in a row
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional
3 in a row
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional
1 in a row
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional
1 in a row
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional
0 in a row
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional
0 in a row
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row

Alianza Petrolera & Atlético Nacional Teams in Best Form

Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional
L
W
W
W
W
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
L
W
W
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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