Home
Leagues
Liga BetPlay
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Fair result

Deportivo Cali

3–1

Alianza Petrolera

0.8Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Deportivo Cali would usually take 1.1 points and Alianza Petrolera 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo Cali.

Deportivo Cali +1.9 pts vs chancesAlianza Petrolera −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Deportivo Cali

Alianza Petrolera

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Deportivo Cali and Alianza Petrolera ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Deportivo Cali win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 83%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Deportivo Cali ahead at half-time.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Deportivo Cali Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Deportivo Cali 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Alianza Petrolera Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Alianza Petrolera 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 86%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Deportivo Cali3

Alianza Petrolera1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

1-0 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Deportivo Cali3

Alianza Petrolera1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

1-0 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

157%

X27%

216%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	36%	64%	63%	37%	73%	27%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	36%	64%	63%	37%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	73%	27%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	56%	44%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	53%	47%	86%	14%	97%	3%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	56%	44%
	53%	47%	86%	14%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	97%	3%	99%	1%

1st Half

136%

X49%

215%

1st Score

163%

X11%

226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

23%

X-X

19%

X-2

2-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

17.7%

2-0

12.6%

1-1

12.0%

0-0

11.1%

2-1

9.5%

0-1

7.2%

3-0

5.8%

3-1

4.0%

1-2

3.9%

2-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera — Recent Form

Deportivo Cali have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Alianza Petrolera have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Deportivo Cali

Alianza Petrolera

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Alianza Petrolera

1/5

Deportivo Cali

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Alianza Petrolera

0/5

Deportivo Cali

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Alianza Petrolera

0/5

Deportivo Cali

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Alianza Petrolera

2/5

Deportivo Cali

4/5

First Half Result

Alianza Petrolera

2/5

Deportivo Cali

2/5

Correct Score

Alianza Petrolera

0/5

Deportivo Cali

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).