Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 13)
Deportes Tolima drew despite more chances
Deportes Tolima0–0
Boyacá ChicóOn these chances Deportes Tolima would usually take 2.6 points and Boyacá Chicó 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportes Tolima.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Deportes Tolima had more than twice the shots on target
Deportes Tolima
Boyacá Chicó
6
Shots on target
1
1
Big chances
0
10
Corners
0
2
Yellow cards
1
74%
Possession
26%
Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Deportes Tolima to win
WrongOur track record
In 145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 2,361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,007 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
Deportes Tolima ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).
Our model’s pick
Deportes Tolima 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
Boyacá Chicó 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 131 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.8% of the time (bookmakers said 88.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Deportes Tolima0
Boyacá Chicó0Winner
1 79%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Deportes Tolima0Boyacá Chicó0Winner
1 79%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9% | 91% | 29% | 71% |
| 67% | 33% | 91% | 9% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 46% | 76% | 24% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
55%
X-1
20%
X-X
10%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
13.3%
3-0
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
0-0
5.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó — Recent Form
Boyacá Chicó have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Deportes Tolima have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Boyacá ChicóDeportes TolimaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Deportes TolimaBoyacá ChicóBoth Teams to Score
Deportes TolimaBoyacá ChicóOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Deportes TolimaBoyacá ChicóOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Deportes TolimaBoyacá ChicóFirst Half Result
Deportes TolimaBoyacá ChicóCorrect Score
Deportes TolimaBoyacá Chicó