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Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Fair result

Cúcuta Deportivo

4–0

Deportivo Pereira

2.0Chances (xG)0.2

On these chances Cúcuta Deportivo would usually take 2.6 points and Deportivo Pereira 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Cúcuta Deportivo.

Cúcuta Deportivo +0.4 pts vs chancesDeportivo Pereira −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Cúcuta Deportivo had more than twice the shots on target

Cúcuta Deportivo

Deportivo Pereira

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

69%

Possession

31%

The match between Cúcuta Deportivo and Deportivo Pereira ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Cúcuta Deportivo win with 55% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Pereira – Boyacá Chicó prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cúcuta Deportivo to win

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Cúcuta Deportivo Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cúcuta Deportivo 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Cúcuta Deportivo 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Deportivo Pereira Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pereira 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 80%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Cúcuta Deportivo4

Deportivo Pereira0

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Cúcuta Deportivo4

Deportivo Pereira0

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

155%

X25%

220%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	67%	33%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	53%	47%	79%	21%	93%	7%
	46%	54%	80%	20%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	53%	47%
	46%	54%	80%	20%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	93%	7%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

140%

X45%

216%

1st Score

159%

X9%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

21%

X-X

17%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

14.3%

1-1

11.6%

2-1

10.5%

2-0

10.3%

0-0

8.6%

0-1

6.6%

3-0

5.7%

1-2

5.5%

3-1

4.7%

2-2

4.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira — Recent Form

Cúcuta Deportivo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Deportivo Pereira have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Cúcuta Deportivo

Deportivo Pereira

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Deportivo Pereira

2/5

Cúcuta Deportivo

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Deportivo Pereira

3/5

Cúcuta Deportivo

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Deportivo Pereira

2/5

Cúcuta Deportivo

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Deportivo Pereira

4/5

Cúcuta Deportivo

4/5

First Half Result

Deportivo Pereira

4/5

Cúcuta Deportivo

2/5

Correct Score

Deportivo Pereira

0/5

Cúcuta Deportivo

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Pereira – Boyacá Chicó prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).