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Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba 4-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 15)
Millonarios4–1
Jaguares de CórdobaOn these chances Millonarios would usually take 2.6 points and Jaguares de Córdoba 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Millonarios.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Millonarios had more than twice the shots on target
Millonarios
Jaguares de Córdoba
9
Shots on target
1
3
Big chances
0
3
Corners
0
7
Yellow cards
4
51%
Possession
50%
Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Millonarios to win
CorrectOur track record
In 327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Millonarios ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Millonarios 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Jaguares de Córdoba 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.7% of the time (bookmakers said 88.5%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Millonarios4
Jaguares de Córdoba1Winner
1 75%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
2-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Millonarios4Jaguares de Córdoba1Winner
1 75%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
2-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 89% | 36% | 64% |
| 64% | 36% | 91% | 9% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 37% | 82% | 18% |
| 99% | 1% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
49%
X-1
23%
X-X
12%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-X
3%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
14.8%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.4%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba — Recent Form
Millonarios have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Jaguares de Córdoba have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
MillonariosJaguares de CórdobaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MillonariosJaguares de CórdobaBoth Teams to Score
MillonariosJaguares de CórdobaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MillonariosJaguares de CórdobaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MillonariosJaguares de CórdobaFirst Half Result
MillonariosJaguares de CórdobaCorrect Score
MillonariosJaguares de Córdoba