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Monterrey vs Toluca

Monterrey vs Toluca 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2025/2026 (Round 1)

The match between Monterrey and Toluca ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Monterrey win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Toluca – Juárez prediction & betting tips (Aug 31, 2026).

Monterrey vs Toluca 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Monterrey vs Toluca. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Monterrey0

Toluca1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Monterrey0

Toluca1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

142%

X26%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%	60%	40%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	57%	43%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	33%	67%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	57%	43%
	33%	67%	66%	34%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

132%

X40%

228%

1st Score

149%

X7%

245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

20%

X-X

17%

X-1

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

9.4%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

7.6%

1-2

7.4%

0-0

6.7%

2-0

6.7%

2-2

5.8%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

3.5%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score