1. Rennes vs LOSC Lille

Rennes vs LOSC Lille Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Banker as favourites

Rennes won 6 of 6 as favourites (league 54%).

6/6Wins as favourite · Rennes
Bookmakers: Rennes 47% to winLille 28%

Rennes vs Lille score prediction

Ligue 1

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.9 goals in total, a little over the Ligue 1 average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Rennes vs Lille: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Rennes vs Lille — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 1

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rennes to win

Our model 56%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,792 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 57%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,296 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rennes ahead at half-time

Our model 42%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,266 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Rennes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rennes 2+ goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,798 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Lille Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lille 0–1 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Rennes vs Lille — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Rennes vs Lille. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

RennesRennes–
LilleLille–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

155%
X23%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%45%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rennes17%83%45%55%
Lille41%59%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rennes72%28%88%12%
Lille91%9%97%3%

1st Half

142%
X38%
220%

1st Score

162%
X5%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

16%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

1-0

9.9%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

8.7%

3-1

5.8%

2-2

5.8%

1-2

5.5%

0-0

5.4%

0-1

5.4%

3-0

5.2%

3-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Rennes vs Lille: the stats that stand out

Ligue 1

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Rennes: banker as favourites · Lille: fast starters and brick wall

Banker as favourites
Rennes6/6

Rennes won 6 of 6 as favourites (league 54%).

Fast starters
Lille7/10

Lille scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Brick wall
Lille5/10

Lille kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Rennes vs Lille: attack vs defence

Ligue 1

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Ligue 1 teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • RennesRennes: good attack, weak defence (2.07 xG, 1.85 xGA a game)
  • LilleLille: weak attack, good defence (1.30 xG, 1.43 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Rennes vs Lille form and luck check

Ligue 1

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 1 games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Rennes
    RennesBookmakers: 47% to win today.
    +3.2
  • Lille
    LilleBookmakers: 28% to win today.
    +3.9

Last 5 matches

RennesRennes
W
L
W
L
W
2nd in table
LilleLille
D
D
W
L
W
3rd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Rennes 5th of 18 · Lille 3rd of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Rennes vs Lille: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Ligue 1

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 1 gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Rennes games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ligue 1 average (54%), Lille games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Rennes9 of 10
Lille2 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Rennes7 of 10
Lille4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 287 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Rennes vs Lille corners, cards and goal times

Ligue 1

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.8
  • Cards: league 1.9
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 24%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

RennesRennes
5/5
LilleLille
2/5

Both Teams to Score

RennesRennes
1/5
LilleLille
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

RennesRennes
4/5
LilleLille
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

RennesRennes
2/5
LilleLille
5/5

First Half Result

RennesRennes
3/5
LilleLille
0/5

Correct Score

RennesRennes
0/5
LilleLille
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores