Troyes vs Olympique Marseille Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Troyes vs Olympique Marseille — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Troyes to win
Our track record
In 1,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 29.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,046 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 895 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 60.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,174 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Troyes 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,773 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Olympique Marseille 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Troyes vs Olympique Marseille — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Troyes vs Olympique Marseille. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Troyes–
Olympique Marseille–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Troyes–Olympique Marseille–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 36% | 64% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 54% | 46% |
 | 27% | 73% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 79% | 21% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
22%
X-X
15%
X-1
13%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Troyes vs Olympique Marseille — Recent Form
Troyes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Olympique Marseille have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Last 5 matches
TroyesOlympique MarseilleOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Olympique MarseilleTroyesBoth Teams to Score
Olympique MarseilleTroyesOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Olympique MarseilleTroyesOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Olympique MarseilleTroyesFirst Half Result
Olympique MarseilleTroyesCorrect Score
Olympique MarseilleTroyes