Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Strasbourg1–3
Paris Saint GermainOn these chances Strasbourg would usually take 1.3 points and Paris Saint Germain 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Paris Saint Germain.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain stats: how the match was played
Ligue 1
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
8
Shots on target
7
4
Big chances
7
3
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
0
27%
Possession
73%
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Strasbourg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 829 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Strasbourg1
Paris Saint Germain3Winner
2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Strasbourg1Paris Saint Germain3Winner
2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 76% | 24% |
| 14% | 86% | 39% | 61% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 65% | 35% | 84% | 16% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
42%
X-2
19%
X-X
10%
1-1
9%
X-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
10.2%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-1
9.0%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Strasbourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourgOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourgBoth Teams to Score
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourgOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourgOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourgFirst Half Result
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourgCorrect Score
Paris Saint GermainStrasbourg