Várda SE vs Honvéd 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)
Várda SE1–1
HonvédOn these chances Várda SE would usually take 1.2 points and Honvéd 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Várda SE.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Várda SE vs Honvéd stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Várda SE
Honvéd
3
Shots on target
4
1
Big chances
2
1
Corners
7
0
Yellow cards
2
32%
Possession
68%
Várda SE vs Honvéd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Honvéd to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Várda SE to win.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Honvéd ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Honvéd 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Honvéd 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Várda SE vs Honvéd 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Várda SE vs Honvéd. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Várda SE1
Honvéd1Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Várda SE1Honvéd1Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44% | 56% | 72% | 28% |
| 17% | 83% | 41% | 59% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
| 66% | 34% | 83% | 17% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
36%
X-2
16%
X-X
14%
1-1
12%
X-1
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score